Common Sense Again
CHAPTER III · 3 OF 114 min read

Why It Happens Anyway

One thing is broken, and two mechanisms manufacture it. All three are specific enough to fix.

The failure: nobody will close a deal that lets the other side win

This is the one that costs us most, and the one nobody talks about.

On the border, on the budget, on retirement, a deal exists where both sides get most of what they want. It doesn't get made. Not because it's hard to find — it's sitting in plain view — but because the fight is worth more to the people having it than the fix is. A solved problem is a fundraising email you can't send, a rally you can't hold, an opponent you can't run against.

In 2024 three senators negotiated the most serious border bill in a generation. Then the party's leader came out against it, and the party followed. When it came to a vote, its own Republican author voted against it. He'd spent months in a room writing it. His side turned on it because solving the problem would cost them the issue. So he walked onto the Senate floor and voted no on the bill with his name on it.

Nobody was bribed. He was responding rationally to what the system rewards. And the system rewarded him for killing his own work.

I put this first because almost nobody disputes it, and because everything else in this pamphlet is either a cause of it or a consequence of it. The stock vote is this failure in miniature. The debt is this failure written as a number. Two things manufacture it.

Cause one: most of us never vote in the election that decides who represents us

In most of this country, the person who represents you is chosen by a small, unrepresentative group of the most committed members of one party, in an election almost nobody votes in, months before you are consulted.

That is not a flaw. That is the system operating normally.

Roughly eight in ten congressional districts are safe for one party. In those places the November ballot is a formality — the real election is the primary, and primary turnout is often ten to twenty percent. And in most states you cannot even enter that election unless you registered with the party months earlier.

I am not claiming that closed primaries caused the country's division. People say that, and it doesn't hold up. Nearly every state had party primaries by 1920, and the bitter division we live with now doesn't begin until about 1980 — sixty years of the supposed cause with none of the supposed effect. And when researchers compared open, closed, and semi-closed states directly, the rules made almost no difference to how extreme the resulting politicians were.

What I am claiming is this: in most of this country, the election that decides who represents you is one you are not allowed to vote in.

Here is why that matters. Whoever wins that seat knows exactly who put them there, and it wasn't you. Politicians answer to the people who can end their careers — and in a safe district, those people are a small, committed slice of one party. So you end up represented by someone you had no hand in choosing, who has no particular reason to care what you think. That would be wrong even if it produced the most reasonable politicians in the country.

Cause two: the system makes self-dealing legal

I said earlier that nobody in the stock-trading story had to be corrupt, and I meant it. Here is the other half of that thought.

Members can trade stocks in industries they oversee. Party leadership can kill a bill with majority support by never scheduling a vote — nobody has to vote it down, nobody has to explain, it simply never happens. Donors buy access nobody else can get. Shutting down the government costs a member nothing: not the seat, not the salary, not the committee assignment.

In any other line of work, most of that would end a career. Here it is permitted. Not overlooked, not gotten away with — permitted, in writing.

So the charge is not that these people are criminals. The charge is that we have written rules under which an honest person and a self-dealing person behave identically, and you cannot tell them apart. That is worse than having a few crooks, because there is nobody to catch.

It is also why “throw the bums out” has never worked. We did it in 1994, 2006, 2010, 2018, 2022. The replacements arrive full of intention and within a term behave like the people they replaced — not because power corrupted them, but because they would like to keep their jobs, and the rules reward what they reward.

And notice how directly this feeds the failure above. A leader who can bury a bill without a recorded vote never has to explain why the deal died. A member who pays nothing for a shutdown has no reason to end one. Every one of these rules lowers the price of refusing to close.

HOW WE’LL KNOW THIS CHAPTER’S FIXED
States with an open primary and an independent map commission150
House seats where November is genuinely in doubt, of 43518150
Members of Congress and families trading individual stocksLegalBanned
Budgets passed on time, of the last 20 years020
See the full scorecard →